February 15, 2016
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To reduce deaths by at least hundreds of thousands, top infectious disease specialists at Imperial College London recently projected that the United States should expect to have rolling periods of social distancing and school closures through late 2021. In each period, the measures would last about two months, relax for one month, then resume for two more. The specialists suggested using the number of coronavirus patients in intensive care unit beds, based on the country’s peak intensive care unit capacity, as a trigger for restarting the restrictions..

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